CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Lynn Vision (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdcd0a2b9c5f1d70220eb61c66b7297c3e1e7d032ea99a84c51f6c89801de04f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof GamerLegion, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed GamerLegion | 68c | 4,203$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.9 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 2,187$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.95 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Lynn Vision | 40c | 1,854$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.91 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 1,761$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.36 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 1,414$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.45 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed GamerLegion | 73c | 1,102$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.8 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 1,069$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.75 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed GamerLegion | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision | 32c | 666.66$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Lynn Vision | 15c | 650.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.47 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed GamerLegion | 69c | 580.57$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Lynn Vision | 25c | 570.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.87 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed GamerLegion | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Lynn Vision | 31c | 458.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.06 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked GamerLegion | 79c | 346.14$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -7.9wins | -0.36per pick | 68cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked GamerLegion | 75c | 288.75$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.56 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed GamerLegion | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 235$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed GamerLegion | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 190.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked GamerLegion | 63c | 170.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 161.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked GamerLegion | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed GamerLegion | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Lynn Vision | 36c | 95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…0068backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 69.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…9153backed GamerLegion | 70c | 53.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 52.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Lynn Vision | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lynn Vision | 38c | 39.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 37.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 34.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed GamerLegion | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed GamerLegion | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b20…19adbacked GamerLegion | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked GamerLegion | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.