Tennis · resolved market
Ningbo Open: Veronika Kudermetova vs Jasmine Paolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c19cdf9cd1e243ee5ee9f262bf9797c047cda62fe59d98e43a188c9689abc5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Kudermetova, Paolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Kudermetova | 25c | 3,267$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.89 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Kudermetova | 29c | 3,059$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.99 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Paolini | 63c | 1,708$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.78 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Paolini | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini | 67c | 1,181$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.26 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kudermetova | 33c | 1,051$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini | 66c | 1,011$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.89 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kudermetova | 34c | 582.39$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paolini | 73c | 317$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kudermetova | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Kudermetova | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kudermetova | 15c | 257.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kudermetova | 34c | 247$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Paolini | 67c | 212.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Paolini | 74c | 203.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Paolini | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Paolini | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kudermetova | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kudermetova | 33c | 91.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Paolini | 65c | 83.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kudermetova | 36c | 63.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kudermetova | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…a034backed Paolini | 64c | 54.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Kudermetova | 34c | 44.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Kudermetova | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kudermetova | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Paolini | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Paolini | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Paolini | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Paolini | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.