Cricket · resolved market
USA vs. Ireland - Cricket T20 World Cup
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a14c0aa35a3cd69336e21e9984cf252b66e425db8413fd9a9cf351f0fa6d374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Ireland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad5d…67b1backed USA | 44c | 4,309$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed USA | 43c | 2,933$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ireland | 58c | 2,333$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Ireland | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a55…6a8ebacked USA | 51c | 1,255$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Ireland | 58c | 1,068$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Ireland | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Ireland | 48c | 850$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Ireland | 54c | 782.13$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Ireland | 50c | 707.54$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed USA | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Ireland | 54c | 530$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Ireland | 57c | 356.05$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Ireland | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Ireland | 42c | 160.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…c9afbacked Ireland | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…c405backed Ireland | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…e337backed USA | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3434…4a0cbacked Ireland | 57c | 40.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…ac30backed USA | 48c | 40.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…0fbcbacked USA | 46c | 22.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.