NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf6ac1d026e5b51a29c554c256590fe28ed0e80cc0e5e865f57e312819c16cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Trail Blazers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Warriors | 48c | 9,969$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.32 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 8,197$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Warriors | 73c | 7,999$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.58 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Warriors | 34c | 6,011$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.8 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,384$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.56 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Trail Blazers | 76c | 5,046$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.58 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Warriors | 73c | 4,164$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.38 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,491$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.69 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,333$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.63 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Warriors | 74c | 3,236$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.41 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,200$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.97 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 3,050$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,019$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.37 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Warriors | 74c | 2,136$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Warriors | 76c | 2,031$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.41 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 73c | 1,950$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,713$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.73 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Warriors | 75c | 1,682$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.4 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Warriors | 69c | 1,593$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.72 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,569$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Warriors | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,339$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.64 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,334$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.54 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Warriors | 55c | 1,259$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.4 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 1,211$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.65 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 70c | 1,040$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,004$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Warriors | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Warriors | 11c | 914.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.34 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Warriors | 6c | 775.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.96 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Warriors | 26c | 774.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.25 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 51c | 763.19$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 711.04$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.96 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 690.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Warriors | 53c | 675.96$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Warriors | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Warriors | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…2e5ebacked Warriors | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Warriors | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 599.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Warriors | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…6bebbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 547.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Warriors | 74c | 518.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 510.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Trail Blazers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Warriors | 73c | 486.97$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Warriors | 28c | 449.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.36 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 425$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 413$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 25c | 400.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Warriors | 30c | 399.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 75c | 380$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Warriors | 68c | 360.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d68…49e2backed Warriors | 15c | 360.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Warriors | 73c | 333$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 328.8$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 314.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 312.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 306.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…f1d3backed Warriors | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Warriors | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699e…b429backed Warriors | 74c | 275.84$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Warriors | 38c | 265.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 263.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Warriors | 40c | 259.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Warriors | 30c | 250$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 239.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…5a19backed Warriors | 42c | 236.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…c193backed Warriors | 70c | 235.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…a502backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 225.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 223.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Warriors | 46c | 217.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…1e89backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 216.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Warriors | 73c | 215.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…7169backed Warriors | 29c | 202.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Warriors | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Warriors | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Warriors | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Warriors | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Warriors | 37c | 162.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…7794backed Warriors | 33c | 156.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 155.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Warriors | 16c | 154.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Warriors | 74c | 147.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…2f1bbacked Warriors | 20c | 145.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…6eb3backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 145.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…e91cbacked Warriors | 34c | 140.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Warriors | 71c | 137.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Warriors | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.