CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe83fc971c27b3817eb22242363ac49d844762e17d0ed66b5923b978389620c1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed FUT Esports | 45c | 18,663$8,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,349.9 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Legacy | 55c | 16,804$9,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,602.07 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Legacy | 54c | 10,500$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed FUT Esports | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed FUT Esports | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Legacy | 57c | 4,480$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Legacy | 40c | 2,913$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.2 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 2,675$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.94 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 1,624$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.21 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 1,480$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.4 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FUT Esports | 62c | 1,218$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.44 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Legacy | 55c | 960.93$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Legacy | 55c | 803.04$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.59 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 44c | 734.98$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 724$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.88 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…037abacked FUT Esports | 44c | 676.97$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed Legacy | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Legacy | 33c | 572.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.47 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed FUT Esports | 53c | 563.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed FUT Esports | 50c | 554.4$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Legacy | 58c | 517.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Legacy | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Legacy | 49c | 500$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Legacy | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 57c | 446.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Legacy | 49c | 368.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed FUT Esports | 55c | 350$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Legacy | 75c | 345$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…38bdbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 344.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Legacy | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Legacy | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…d761backed FUT Esports | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FUT Esports | 45c | 249$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports | 62c | 242.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Legacy | 55c | 241$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Legacy | 38c | 239.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed FUT Esports | 44c | 229.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Legacy | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Legacy | 44c | 218$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Legacy | 55c | 217.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Legacy | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Legacy | 55c | 187$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Legacy | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 177.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 53c | 169.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed FUT Esports | 8c | 162.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Legacy | 35c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Legacy | 41c | 132.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Legacy | 51c | 118.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Legacy | 34c | 112.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Legacy | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Legacy | 56c | 99.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Legacy | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed FUT Esports | 45c | 79.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed FUT Esports | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Legacy | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed FUT Esports | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…7858backed Legacy | 36c | 63.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Legacy | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked FUT Esports | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed FUT Esports | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Legacy | 55c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Legacy | 33c | 33.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 266 | 35.7%95 W · 171 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed FUT Esports | 42c | 32.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Legacy | 41c | 28.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Legacy | 56c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Legacy | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Legacy | 54c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Legacy | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.