College Football · resolved market
O/U 60.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b98ee46f350a3f62138ea8cf44da12a0d24407708e5847bfa6e142760a1eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa837…b8a4backed Under | 47c | 8,618$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 50c | 7,922$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.04 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…030bbacked Over | 53c | 7,350$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…4d4dbacked Over | 53c | 7,300$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…09dcbacked Over | 53c | 7,300$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…5500backed Over | 53c | 6,407$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Under | 48c | 3,597$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 3,462$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,809$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.98 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 52c | 2,496$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 2,260$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.27 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Over | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…878fbacked Under | 47c | 2,120$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Under | 47c | 2,120$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…81cebacked Under | 47c | 2,120$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…0649backed Under | 47c | 2,120$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…67a7backed Under | 47c | 2,100$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…b407backed Under | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…9eb1backed Under | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,888$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.48 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…6b31backed Under | 47c | 1,840$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 53c | 1,800$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.94 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…971cbacked Under | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…4c15backed Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 48c | 386.23$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 351$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Over | 55c | 215.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Over | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 60.5this page
- North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ersNorth Texas won
- North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Spread: North Texas (-26.5)North Texas won
- Spread: North Texas (-27.5)North Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.