College Football · resolved market
North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfc60333344a94a3082e0ca2cb29c4281cd5ae4677d3622a9f4645288648d19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof North Texas, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Charlotte 49ers | 13c | 95,745$12,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,149.33 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 84,280$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.88 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Charlotte 49ers | 2c | 60,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 40,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Charlotte 49ers | 3c | 24,243$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.87 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 20,242$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.34 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Charlotte 49ers | 8c | 10,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Texas | 78c | 6,417$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.99 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 4,308$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Charlotte 49ers | 24c | 4,168$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…ac07backed Charlotte 49ers | 15c | 3,750$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 2,388$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 3c | 2,274$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 2,250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 2,000$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 1,848$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Charlotte 49ers | 2c | 1,581$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Charlotte 49ers | 18c | 1,434$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Charlotte 49ers | 23c | 1,305$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Charlotte 49ers | 3c | 1,047$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Charlotte 49ers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…ea6bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 16c | 990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 988$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…c2b1backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 906$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Charlotte 49ers | 3c | 876.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 852$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…088abacked Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 810$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Charlotte 49ers | 19c | 805.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Charlotte 49ers | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 658.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 639.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed Charlotte 49ers | 13c | 611.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e7…5769backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 597.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…3d3ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 440.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked North Texas | 75c | 393.37$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 389.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 302$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 295$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charlotte 49ers | 4c | 280$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Charlotte 49ers | 14c | 260$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 249.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…44acbacked Charlotte 49ers | 10c | 231.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…55f1backed Charlotte 49ers | 26c | 191.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 9c | 149.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Charlotte 49ers | 16c | 127.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Charlotte 49ers | 11c | 124.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…8336backed Charlotte 49ers | 25c | 78.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed North Texas | 77c | 69.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed North Texas | 77c | 52.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ersthis page
- North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 61.5Over won
- O/U 60.5Over won
- Spread: North Texas (-26.5)North Texas won
- Spread: North Texas (-27.5)North Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.