Tennis · resolved market
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x694f79e7cabef0f301a744af27d58b5c1b6a540d05cac27936f81dedec1e507c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucsaof Bucsa, Joint
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucsa | 65c | 15,135$9,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Joint | 18c | 12,730$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.28 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Joint | 57c | 10,000$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.61 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bucsa | 55c | 4,308$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.4 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Bucsa | 40c | 4,000$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.74 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucsa | 56c | 1,906$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.98 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Joint | 60c | 969.92$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucsa | 40c | 881.71$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.03 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d0…e238backed Joint | 12c | 504.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bucsa | 55c | 501.07$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bucsa | 52c | 429.71$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Joint | 19c | 388.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Joint | 41c | 379.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed Joint | 39c | 370$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucsa | 67c | 369.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Joint | 56c | 354.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Bucsa | 59c | 350.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…55f1backed Joint | 42c | 340$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Joint | 63c | 340$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.58 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Joint | 19c | 299.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Joint | 62c | 269$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucsa | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Joint | 59c | 235.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Bucsa | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joint | 34c | 187.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bucsa | 35c | 147.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Joint | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Joint | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Joint | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bucsa | 70c | 98.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Bucsa | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Bucsa | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Joint | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Joint | 58c | 69.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Bucsa | 70c | 57.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Joint | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Joint | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Joint | 53c | 48.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucsa | 49c | 44.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bucsa | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Joint | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Joint | 45c | 38.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…8355backed Joint | 30c | 36.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Joint | 34c | 36.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…ed44backed Joint | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucsa | 42c | 30.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Bucsa | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Joint | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Joint | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Joint | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.