CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7734889ceb7721b7d38fdb90f552733c724d3274067e46cf716f6815163e9c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof MIBR, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 15,629$7,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,886.3 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 8,779$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.01 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed MIBR | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked MIBR | 50c | 4,220$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MIBR | 53c | 3,715$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.8 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked MIBR | 53c | 3,565$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.45 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MIBR | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.84 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 2,034$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.72 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR | 34c | 1,313$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MIBR | 53c | 1,160$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.8 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed MIBR | 43c | 1,060$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MIBR | 51c | 650$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.06 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed MIBR | 53c | 615.94$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MIBR | 53c | 559$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 522.7$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.8 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked MIBR | 50c | 489.32$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.66 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed MIBR | 47c | 372.15$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed MIBR | 50c | 238.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MIBR | 52c | 219$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed MIBR | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked MIBR | 31c | 178.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…6c56backed MIBR | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed MIBR | 53c | 152.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed MIBR | 50c | 138.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed MIBR | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked MIBR | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MIBR | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…3b7bbacked MIBR | 62c | 63.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 59.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed MIBR | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed MIBR | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MIBR | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed MIBR | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2a…3dccbacked MIBR | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…c9d0backed MIBR | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 19.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.