CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a8b2845720284aa710e8e68606ac5b016e24caed0e4dcdbcee42699a97b33f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof Astralis, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FaZe | 53c | 14,208$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686.54 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis | 47c | 12,682$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,984.77 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked FaZe | 51c | 8,847$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FaZe | 67c | 5,696$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Astralis | 23c | 2,617$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 19c | 2,441$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.87 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Astralis | 22c | 2,180$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked FaZe | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked FaZe | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Astralis | 47c | 1,412$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.61 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed FaZe | 52c | 1,314$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.66 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.33 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 29c | 884.54$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Astralis | 16c | 852.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed FaZe | 52c | 755.7$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.35 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Astralis | 48c | 621$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astralis | 12c | 562.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Astralis | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked FaZe | 80c | 413.97$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Astralis | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed Astralis | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Astralis | 48c | 318.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Astralis | 49c | 287.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed FaZe | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Astralis | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis | 48c | 253.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 43c | 208.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Astralis | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Astralis | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed FaZe | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Astralis | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Astralis | 23c | 157.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Astralis | 48c | 149.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Astralis | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Astralis | 48c | 135.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed FaZe | 80c | 124.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Astralis | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FaZe | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed FaZe | 52c | 61.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FaZe | 52c | 59.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FaZe | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Astralis | 36c | 44.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…3382backed Astralis | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed FaZe | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FaZe | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed FaZe | 71c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0305…430ebacked FaZe | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FaZe | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.