Lol · resolved market
BLAST Open: FlyQuest vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238dc9a085653df9339f7f73c8e8af08f9b8ce6e4cde0b635893d0dd4b84d6b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed FlyQuest | 35c | 3,041$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.07 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Legacy | 44c | 2,785$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.21 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Legacy | 64c | 2,724$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.51 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Legacy | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed FlyQuest | 34c | 2,045$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Legacy | 51c | 1,942$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Legacy | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Legacy | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.28 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 1,373$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.22 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FlyQuest | 52c | 1,358$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.31 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked FlyQuest | 32c | 1,354$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.94 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed FlyQuest | 57c | 1,247$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.15 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed FlyQuest | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Legacy | 60c | 829.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Legacy | 17c | 827.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 21c | 752.08$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Legacy | 54c | 749.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Legacy | 64c | 735.69$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Legacy | 65c | 715.89$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.33 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed FlyQuest | 42c | 618$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.33 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Legacy | 65c | 600$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.67 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Legacy | 32c | 585.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest | 35c | 550.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.65 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed FlyQuest | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked FlyQuest | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 343.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Legacy | 61c | 339$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed FlyQuest | 60c | 335.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Legacy | 43c | 300.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Legacy | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked FlyQuest | 37c | 272.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed FlyQuest | 35c | 270.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed FlyQuest | 35c | 247.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked FlyQuest | 46c | 238.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Legacy | 64c | 216.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Legacy | 63c | 207.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed Legacy | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked FlyQuest | 54c | 184.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Legacy | 59c | 179.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Legacy | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked FlyQuest | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 67c | 135.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed FlyQuest | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FlyQuest | 43c | 82.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 297 | 61.6%183 W · 114 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Legacy | 67c | 78.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed FlyQuest | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Legacy | 66c | 51.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked FlyQuest | 60c | 50.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed FlyQuest | 40c | 50.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Legacy | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked FlyQuest | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +368.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed FlyQuest | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Legacy | 80c | 46.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Legacy | 68c | 43.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed FlyQuest | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked FlyQuest | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Legacy | 64c | 35.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Legacy | 42c | 30.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Legacy | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ac55backed Legacy | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…1927backed Legacy | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…d2e2backed Legacy | 80c | 16.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.