Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Emma Navarro vs Shuai Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88436396656d0299ca2138905ed6b40983deb3d0b2d001995d6a13ba51a6047e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhangof Navarro, Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zhang | 48c | 13,036$6,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.53 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navarro | 48c | 4,183$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.71 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Navarro | 37c | 4,116$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.79 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Navarro | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Navarro | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Navarro | 67c | 2,351$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.87 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Zhang | 30c | 1,994$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navarro | 59c | 1,966$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.9 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Zhang | 33c | 1,215$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…d61fbacked Zhang | 33c | 903.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Zhang | 33c | 901.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.94 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Navarro | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714cbacked Navarro | 40c | 583.85$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Zhang | 19c | 481.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zhang | 56c | 436.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed Zhang | 63c | 254.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Zhang | 62c | 210.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked Navarro | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Navarro | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e43dbacked Navarro | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Zhang | 34c | 141.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Navarro | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Zhang | 31c | 133$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Navarro | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Navarro | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Navarro | 37c | 96.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Navarro | 64c | 78.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Zhang | 29c | 71.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Navarro | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zhang | 29c | 70.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zhang | 29c | 58.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Zhang | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Zhang | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Navarro | 42c | 48.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed Navarro | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Navarro | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zhang | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Navarro | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Navarro | 75c | 26.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Navarro | 78c | 13.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.