Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRX (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x630afd0fa25a10203a9368f4012766632ec5f61e4df0359045bf474ed9a970f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed DRX | 43c | 22,662$9,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712.02 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Fnatic | 52c | 14,207$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,819.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Fnatic | 52c | 13,359$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed DRX | 48c | 12,789$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.68 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic | 49c | 7,360$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.29 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Fnatic | 51c | 4,696$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked DRX | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Fnatic | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Fnatic | 70c | 3,898$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.26 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed DRX | 48c | 3,643$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed DRX | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Fnatic | 50c | 2,269$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked DRX | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked DRX | 50c | 1,659$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…84cebacked DRX | 50c | 1,347$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed DRX | 49c | 1,292$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Fnatic | 51c | 1,217$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed DRX | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Fnatic | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed DRX | 10c | 799.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed DRX | 30c | 799.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Fnatic | 63c | 714.84$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Fnatic | 61c | 700$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed DRX | 50c | 692.62$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed DRX | 47c | 542.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Fnatic | 48c | 541.43$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed DRX | 61c | 524.09$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.87 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed DRX | 49c | 523$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked DRX | 32c | 509.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed DRX | 51c | 500$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Fnatic | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Fnatic | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Fnatic | 72c | 330.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed DRX | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed DRX | 51c | 299.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked Fnatic | 30c | 277.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Fnatic | 37c | 255$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed DRX | 48c | 237.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed DRX | 49c | 214.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Fnatic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked DRX | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…ec59backed DRX | 49c | 201.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Fnatic | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed Fnatic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…29edbacked DRX | 22c | 145.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Fnatic | 49c | 131.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Fnatic | 52c | 125.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed DRX | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed DRX | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Fnatic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked DRX | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Fnatic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…5ecebacked DRX | 59c | 92.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…2aa9backed Fnatic | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Fnatic | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…d3e8backed DRX | 36c | 63.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Fnatic | 61c | 59.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Fnatic | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed DRX | 49c | 52.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…2047backed Fnatic | 78c | 44.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Fnatic | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Fnatic | 53c | 42.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed DRX | 63c | 35.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked Fnatic | 53c | 30.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Fnatic | 60c | 28.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.