TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof Fnatic, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Fnatic55c14,591$7,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,638.757751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp49c14,550$7,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,067.2566947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Karmine Corp7c13,250$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.4818340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Karmine Corp55c12,433$6,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,838.121144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Fnatic57c9,941$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,316.031,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Karmine Corp58c7,583$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.113453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Fnatic42c7,493$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,352.420557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Fnatic77c5,029$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.8411744.4%52 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Karmine Corp38c4,946$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.3113150.4%66 W · 65 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Karmine Corp61c4,903$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.3627346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Fnatic74c4,611$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.1125269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4e…b006backed Fnatic44c4,573$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.54520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Karmine Corp19c4,044$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4541743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Karmine Corp41c3,815$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.994533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Karmine Corp43c3,650$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.491,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Fnatic44c3,212$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.27346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Fnatic76c2,922$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.957444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Fnatic62c2,652$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.229548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Karmine Corp18c2,630$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5827…e59ebacked Fnatic41c2,544$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.072128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Fnatic42c2,428$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.883043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Karmine Corp39c2,341$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.992,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Karmine Corp30c2,118$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.213,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Fnatic39c2,081$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27013243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Fnatic40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2006058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Fnatic66c1,771$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.6619041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Fnatic44c1,765$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.823735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Karmine Corp38c1,635$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6225855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked Fnatic42c1,599$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.569439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Karmine Corp19c1,573$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29846258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Karmine Corp36c1,566$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9221549.3%106 W · 109 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Fnatic43c1,433$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.8614236.6%52 W · 90 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Karmine Corp58c1,407$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.4351852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed Karmine Corp36c1,400$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029845.9%45 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp12c1,218$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.781,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd0…5aedbacked Karmine Corp18c966.06$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.891118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Fnatic43c899.98$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9912361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Karmine Corp39c881$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.785448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed Karmine Corp57c871.62$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Karmine Corp26c838.57$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed Karmine Corp56c810$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Fnatic42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46410934.9%38 W · 71 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Fnatic39c791.24$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.6448742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Karmine Corp60c745.9$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45039450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Karmine Corp21c714.27$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5615945.3%72 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e59…a17cbacked Karmine Corp38c700$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2682166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fca…cf0abacked Karmine Corp7c699.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Karmine Corp38c689.99$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.251160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Fnatic79c671.71$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5229758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Karmine Corp54c659.26$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35615953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Karmine Corp60c599.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9927452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Karmine Corp17c590$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.310228.4%29 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…75b3backed Fnatic65c590$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.435644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…52bcbacked Karmine Corp25c536.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4427…9016backed Fnatic80c520$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.52536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Fnatic44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Karmine Corp46c431.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Fnatic46c422.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Fnatic44c407.56$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8616828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked Fnatic42c400.21$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.129751.5%50 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…33debacked Fnatic44c393$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2210645.3%48 W · 58 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e16…981ebacked Karmine Corp10c384.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.26156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick26cpaid-84.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Karmine Corp28c353.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.167544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d2…492ebacked Fnatic78c350$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Karmine Corp40c347.5$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1392138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Karmine Corp58c342.36$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7513151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Fnatic60c338.89$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.779156.1%444 W · 347 L-2.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Karmine Corp20c327.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.045320.8%11 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Karmine Corp62c324.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020563.9%131 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Fnatic55c290.45$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.451643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Karmine Corp39c281.08$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8414044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Karmine Corp46c280$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.19451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Karmine Corp18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2a…5ccebacked Karmine Corp28c272.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.099430.9%29 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Karmine Corp57c258$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2343348.7%211 W · 222 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee78…9de1backed Karmine Corp44c252.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x406c…bdc6backed Karmine Corp60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-63.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fnatic43c247.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.813259.1%78 W · 54 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1918…9568backed Fnatic42c245.31$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.287437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed Fnatic45c228.89$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.898632.6%28 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Fnatic68c225.42$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7338624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed Karmine Corp60c221.93$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.361450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp51c204.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.941,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55f…2e75backed Karmine Corp45c199.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Fnatic41c194.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6132350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Fnatic41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.734250%21 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Fnatic59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Karmine Corp37c162.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fed…fa70backed Karmine Corp59c154.16$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.954040%16 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x140f…5022backed Karmine Corp54c152.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa8…2ba7backed Karmine Corp60c151.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked Fnatic66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5110865.7%71 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Fnatic43c146.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec3…9766backed Karmine Corp63c143.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012364.2%79 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Karmine Corp54c129.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7086758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Karmine Corp41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012640.5%51 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ba…68fabacked Fnatic44c116$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.352161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…03dbbacked Fnatic55c108.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.137047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Fnatic64c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.