MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2979dd810533114731c3ed2a16b0a31287cdc814da5cd5725967845f9aa1f93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Padres, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 56c | 63,693$35,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,025.05 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 43c | 52,659$22,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,725.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Padres | 44c | 31,788$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.89 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mets | 57c | 18,335$10,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.14 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 57c | 12,947$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.11 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 56c | 9,180$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.99 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 43c | 8,555$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.65 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 57c | 8,493$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.99 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 54c | 7,513$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.01 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Mets | 56c | 7,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mets | 67c | 5,901$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.37 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Padres | 43c | 5,792$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.18 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mets | 57c | 5,728$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.61 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 56c | 5,200$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 30c | 4,968$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.63 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 43c | 4,700$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Padres | 43c | 4,527$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.76 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 43c | 4,465$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.34 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Padres | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 34c | 4,030$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mets | 56c | 3,969$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.31 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Mets | 72c | 3,745$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…b11dbacked Mets | 67c | 3,138$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Padres | 1c | 3,089$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 60c | 2,625$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.76 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…bc60backed Padres | 44c | 2,355$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Padres | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Padres | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 57c | 1,700$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Mets | 56c | 1,604$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.91 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Padres | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Padres | 43c | 1,209$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Padres | 44c | 1,200$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 43c | 1,162$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Padres | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Mets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Padres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 43c | 923.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Padres | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Padres | 43c | 850$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Padres | 44c | 838.64$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 67c | 835.75$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 61c | 824$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.84 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Padres | 43c | 819.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Mets | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Padres | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mets | 59c | 795.63$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets | 67c | 781.33$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.66 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Padres | 43c | 619$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 61c | 552.59$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.13 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 42c | 550.71$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 45c | 545.92$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 43c | 530.81$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 43c | 520$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 43c | 516.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.19 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 44c | 504.12$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3791…158fbacked Padres | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Padres | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Padres | 44c | 497.77$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 4c | 480.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 56c | 469.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Padres | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Padres | 36c | 453.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…49cebacked Mets | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…616abacked Padres | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 55c | 443.77$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 46c | 434.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Padres | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Padres | 4c | 426.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mets | 54c | 400.68$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Padres | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Padres | 43c | 374.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Padres | 44c | 356.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Mets | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Mets | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Padres | 33c | 304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eeb…9682backed Padres | 46c | 293.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a751backed Padres | 36c | 279.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 21c | 273$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets | 57c | 252$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Padres | 43c | 247.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mets | 57c | 245.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Mets | 53c | 245$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3772…66a1backed Mets | 55c | 241.8$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…03efbacked Mets | 55c | 238$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Metsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.