TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof MOUZ, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Team Falcons58c50,230$29,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,173.8711146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed MOUZ42c24,064$10,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,083.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ44c14,364$6,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,306.2483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Team Falcons67c9,000$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,98418051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons57c4,386$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.9626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ40c4,085$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.6713050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7201,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons58c3,899$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.3881751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed MOUZ42c3,535$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.6325842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed MOUZ44c3,193$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4058833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked MOUZ43c3,034$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.5411631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ22c2,980$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.632425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed MOUZ43c2,390$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9424935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed MOUZ43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Team Falcons68c1,890$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3422254.5%121 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed MOUZ43c1,542$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.046041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed MOUZ43c1,487$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.288636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed Team Falcons61c1,428$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.395459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Team Falcons59c1,335$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.939656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked MOUZ41c1,298$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.685565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ43c1,277$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.513043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed MOUZ12c1,250$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.55326.4%14 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed MOUZ24c1,069$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3519660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Team Falcons60c668.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.769860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons57c666$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.381,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed MOUZ16c649.43$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7115749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ43c627.91$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed MOUZ30c603.59$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2311625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Team Falcons79c592.76$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Team Falcons57c559.33$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2821639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Team Falcons56c527.27$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23212145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ39c513.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4335341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Falcons57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ec…18f4backed Team Falcons58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Falcons57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.522056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a23…5ca3backed Team Falcons63c444.23$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.042441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Team Falcons59c442.37$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3726251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed MOUZ21c405$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.29215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Team Falcons79c405$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3518261%111 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons70c404$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4158961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7281244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed MOUZ42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ40c376.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2426351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed MOUZ41c366.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4612843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ42c361$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6221645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb54f…70c3backed Team Falcons59c344.53$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ46c341.3$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15738452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Team Falcons57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1299838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked MOUZ34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Team Falcons58c261.43$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.85545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed MOUZ42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed MOUZ41c213.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.744736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed Team Falcons59c183.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ41c181.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9163345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Team Falcons58c179.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.68444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ee…5c4abacked Team Falcons59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f9…25dcbacked MOUZ35c154.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed MOUZ24c151.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.292128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed MOUZ44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.237752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MOUZ44c128.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6355043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ46c124.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.824554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…55a4backed MOUZ42c119.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed MOUZ43c118.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed Team Falcons55c112.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.734546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ67c108.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0368753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed MOUZ43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Team Falcons75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Team Falcons58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Team Falcons59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc12…708cbacked Team Falcons80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Team Falcons55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Team Falcons57c88.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7211565.2%75 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Team Falcons58c86.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1631757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc42…2a78backed MOUZ24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons57c69.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.091,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x822f…ea37backed MOUZ30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked MOUZ43c63.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.129252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Team Falcons30c61.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1619423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Team Falcons50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Team Falcons61c53.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7124250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…ff45backed Team Falcons60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Team Falcons58c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3268…d305backed Team Falcons57c47.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0114…22a6backed MOUZ43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed MOUZ43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208765.5%57 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…204ebacked Team Falcons59c45.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.834658.7%27 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Team Falcons60c43.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43560%21 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f22…be14backed Team Falcons64c43.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.517660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed Team Falcons68c41.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3420659.2%122 W · 84 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…3d76backed MOUZ49c36.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9860%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ce…01a9backed Team Falcons49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.344557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad3…38acbacked MOUZ56c30.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.682146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Team Falcons53c27.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.943528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a0…4038backed Team Falcons52c26.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.72347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1357…4fd4backed MOUZ44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.