MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5442929071a53ca5f48e679912e7f1238cbc071568fdc9eccd9e69e78d43e305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 41c | 185,502$75,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,375.22 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 60c | 76,193$45,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,814.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Braves | 60c | 68,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,400 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 40c | 34,787$13,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,914.94 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Braves | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves | 59c | 12,666$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.06 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 41c | 11,792$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.91 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Braves | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Braves | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nationals | 39c | 5,565$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.85 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Nationals | 40c | 5,012$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Braves | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nationals | 0c | 4,994$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 61c | 4,961$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Braves | 60c | 3,516$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 59c | 2,983$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.74 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 33c | 2,660$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 60c | 2,543$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.06 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Nationals | 39c | 2,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,807$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Braves | 60c | 1,365$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.91 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 40c | 1,083$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.41 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 41c | 1,031$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Nationals | 41c | 1,006$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.05 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 57c | 1,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 41c | 999.9$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 59c | 983$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 40c | 861$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 64c | 786.38$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Braves | 54c | 746.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.76 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 59c | 739.47$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Nationals | 49c | 712.77$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 41c | 632.89$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Nationals | 40c | 628$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 4c | 599.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 17c | 599.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 53c | 586.41$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Braves | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 40c | 572.03$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Braves | 61c | 549.18$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Nationals | 40c | 540$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves | 59c | 514.61$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 40c | 501$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Nationals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Braves | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Nationals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…51edbacked Braves | 60c | 451$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd5…1ea3backed Nationals | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Braves | 56c | 381.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Braves | 53c | 377.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nationals | 41c | 361$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Nationals | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 15c | 340.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Braves | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Nationals | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 44c | 228.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Nationals | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 63c | 210.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 59c | 208.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…213ebacked Braves | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Braves | 60c | 198.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Braves | 53c | 198.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Nationals | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Braves | 56c | 170.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Braves | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Nationals | 43c | 113.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Braves | 45c | 102.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 59c | 102.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…3a3bbacked Nationals | 41c | 102.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 34c | 100.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Braves | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Braves | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Nationals | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Braves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Braves | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Nationals | 40c | 72.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Braves | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Braves | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995f…7962backed Nationals | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Braves | 43c | 61.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Nationals | 42c | 60.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Nationals | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Nationals | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nationals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Nationalsthis page
- Braves vs. Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Braves (-1.5)Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.