MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ec409ee89c4bfa631faf3fae4d326d9ac3a6b9319089387dac5eb2057cb6cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Giants, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $909,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $916,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $909,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants | 48c | 689,575$328,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328,156.11 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 157,150$81,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,432 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 145,145$75,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,409.4 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 84,000$44,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,680 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 58,573$26,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,510.8 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 43,184$23,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,052.2 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 37,514$19,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,358.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 35,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,600 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 18,537$9,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,897.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 68c | 18,007$12,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,223.52 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 16,373$8,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,695.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 14,444$7,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.12 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 12,920$6,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 11,587$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,920.66 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 11,110$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.7 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 9,390$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 7,477$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 7,467$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.91 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 6,600$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 5,751$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.97 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 5,500$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,709$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.43 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 4,264$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.91 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 4,134$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.1 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 4,108$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.02 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,712$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 3,083$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,987$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.89 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Giants | 47c | 2,680$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.6 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants | 62c | 2,602$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.52 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,549$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.87 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 46c | 2,446$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.32 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 2,161$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.62 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,047$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.56 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,733$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,576$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.95 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,532$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,493$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,296$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Diamondbacks | 31c | 1,291$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.23 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Giants | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Giants | 78c | 1,281$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Giants | 48c | 1,104$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,101$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.35 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Giants | 40c | 1,101$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.35 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.79 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Giants | 46c | 921$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 896.3$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants | 55c | 866$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Giants | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Giants | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 47c | 850.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 789.95$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.38 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 735.36$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.42 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Giants | 30c | 732$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Giants | 49c | 694.16$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.14 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 627.93$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 619.82$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.29 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Giants | 37c | 600$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 592$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…b11dbacked Giants | 47c | 582.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 52c | 552.95$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Giants | 39c | 538.19$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 46c | 501.37$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 47c | 474.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Giants | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Giants | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Giants | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Giants | 52c | 381.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 46c | 364.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…c199backed Giants | 48c | 360$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Giants | 47c | 338.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 326$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 316.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 306.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Giants | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 295.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 286.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 235.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Giants | 60c | 234.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 233$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Giants | 46c | 219.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…9089backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 211$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Giants | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.