CS2 · resolved market

CS: Astralis vs GamerLegion

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566f912713fd9f939b2cc32b6721c5f3debb5359617e3695c628fff5260501f1

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Astralisof Astralis, GamerLegion
Resolved: Sep 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,636 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x81f5…70afbacked GamerLegion	15c	6,995$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.25	208	55.3%115 W · 93 L	+18.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.99	258	42.2%109 W · 149 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed GamerLegion	28c	5,557$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.08	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed Astralis	75c	3,939$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.5	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked Astralis	63c	3,790$2,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.28	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked GamerLegion	44c	3,169$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.42	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed GamerLegion	25c	2,800$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	282	48.9%138 W · 144 L	+21.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Astralis	75c	2,189$1,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.19	130	50%65 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked GamerLegion	45c	2,089$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.05	1,262	46.9%592 W · 670 L	-34.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Astralis	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	180	51.1%92 W · 88 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed GamerLegion	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.98	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Astralis	77c	1,916$1,477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.31	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed GamerLegion	45c	1,600$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	238	52.9%126 W · 112 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked GamerLegion	30c	1,567$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.28	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked Astralis	63c	1,500$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed Astralis	72c	1,379$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.71	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…6102backed GamerLegion	24c	1,378$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.83	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.43per pick	60cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion	45c	1,038$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.25	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked GamerLegion	28c	984.85$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.47	470	55.7%262 W · 208 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Astralis	57c	881.89$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.21	262	51.1%134 W · 128 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d5…9562backed GamerLegion	30c	872.5$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.65	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion	33c	823.41$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.95	1,619	45.5%737 W · 882 L	+31.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Astralis	56c	790$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.6	121	31.4%38 W · 83 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed GamerLegion	24c	720.93$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.84	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed GamerLegion	43c	606.69$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.88	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed GamerLegion	45c	600$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	463	40.8%189 W · 274 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion	42c	583.21$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.95	1,146	49.4%566 W · 580 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed GamerLegion	16c	522$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.3	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked GamerLegion	45c	515.56$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed GamerLegion	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	283	51.9%147 W · 136 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1caf…7e6abacked GamerLegion	37c	499.99$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.21per pick	31cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked GamerLegion	16c	483.63$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.38	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Astralis	52c	473.13$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	298	55%164 W · 134 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis	54c	463$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.98	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed GamerLegion	30c	450.54$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.59	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked GamerLegion	47c	422$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed GamerLegion	46c	389.21$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.38	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-8.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed Astralis	56c	360$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.4	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Astralis	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed Astralis	71c	347.93$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.72	102	38.2%39 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Astralis	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed GamerLegion	33c	300$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed GamerLegion	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	86	36%31 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed GamerLegion	45c	288.84$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.98	225	54.7%123 W · 102 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed Astralis	78c	260$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed GamerLegion	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	367	51%187 W · 180 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Astralis	56c	212.5$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.5	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Astralis	76c	208.87$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.82	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed GamerLegion	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	156	42.3%66 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Astralis	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked Astralis	61c	187.81$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.37	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Astralis	73c	185.78$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.6	421	49.6%209 W · 212 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed GamerLegion	41c	182.58$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.66	110	30.9%34 W · 76 L	-11.3wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Astralis	52c	172.25$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.68	249	35.7%89 W · 160 L	-14.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd62…222cbacked Astralis	56c	157.14$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.14	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1962…370dbacked GamerLegion	45c	155.56$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Astralis	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	265	63%167 W · 98 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed GamerLegion	32c	115.35$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.48	211	56.9%120 W · 91 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Astralis	56c	105.36$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.36	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf030…27bfbacked Astralis	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed GamerLegion	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked GamerLegion	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed Astralis	59c	99.88$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.95	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked GamerLegion	45c	99.04$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.57	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	-18.8wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis	54c	98.1$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.13	815	44.4%362 W · 453 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed Astralis	55c	89.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	128	43%55 W · 73 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Astralis	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	113	69%78 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Astralis	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	86	29.1%25 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3240…9172backed GamerLegion	45c	82.18$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.98	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked GamerLegion	32c	75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	220	56.4%124 W · 96 L	+19.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis	56c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb48…19b3backed GamerLegion	44c	56.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Astralis	56c	55.09$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.24	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Astralis	56c	50.46$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.2	354	54.2%192 W · 162 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked GamerLegion	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	238	46.2%110 W · 128 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0a…ada0backed Astralis	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed GamerLegion	23c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Astralis	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	422	57.3%242 W · 180 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked GamerLegion	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed GamerLegion	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Astralis	75c	43.43$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Astralis	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	207	44.4%92 W · 115 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e7…08ebbacked GamerLegion	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion	35c	31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked GamerLegion	45c	24.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Astralis	77c	14.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+7.1wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CS: Astralis vs GamerLegion

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market