CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: G2 vs. Spirit
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67704c490504db46f7170f51e5f49f7e014d7e837e2f697dc9f593e40b00dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof G2, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Spirit | 77c | 50,470$38,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,614.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked G2 | 21c | 26,017$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.67 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed G2 | 26c | 19,331$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.87 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed G2 | 22c | 8,837$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.29 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 27c | 8,459$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.02 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 16c | 5,410$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.29 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…8b74backed G2 | 27c | 5,130$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed G2 | 25c | 4,742$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.23 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Spirit | 78c | 4,592$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.96 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Spirit | 75c | 4,000$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Spirit | 80c | 1,983$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.94 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Spirit | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed G2 | 24c | 1,881$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,635$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.74 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed G2 | 17c | 1,400$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed G2 | 24c | 1,300$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed G2 | 25c | 1,288$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.52 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 18c | 1,210$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed G2 | 21c | 1,204$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked G2 | 24c | 1,038$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit | 79c | 1,000$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Spirit | 63c | 862$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.32 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed G2 | 19c | 605$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 | 43c | 601.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed G2 | 21c | 586.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Spirit | 75c | 555.95$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Spirit | 73c | 509.59$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed G2 | 19c | 500.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked G2 | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked G2 | 16c | 483.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 80c | 443.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Spirit | 73c | 372.6$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed G2 | 27c | 372.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Spirit | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed G2 | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 | 32c | 308.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Spirit | 57c | 258.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Spirit | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Spirit | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed Spirit | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked G2 | 24c | 167.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed G2 | 18c | 134.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed G2 | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed G2 | 21c | 122.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…1986backed Spirit | 79c | 116$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked Spirit | 80c | 115.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked G2 | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed G2 | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Spirit | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…c791backed G2 | 30c | 79.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 16c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked G2 | 15c | 64.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Spirit | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked G2 | 20c | 51.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Spirit | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…11febacked Spirit | 73c | 46.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed G2 | 24c | 45.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 70c | 43.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Spirit | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Spirit | 58c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Spirit | 75c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Spirit | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Spirit | 76c | 15.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…40d9backed Spirit | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.