CS2 · resolved market
FISSURE Playground 2: FaZe vs. paiN
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6bb4c9234e939020910fb1c275e812b680b30fb6426060536a80cb774f8898
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof FaZe, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked FaZe | 66c | 170,544$112,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,036.97 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed paiN | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed paiN | 38c | 40,237$15,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,289.89 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed paiN | 36c | 25,080$8,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,926.39 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked paiN | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 226 | 25.7%58 W · 168 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed FaZe | 63c | 9,201$5,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.25 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 33c | 7,706$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.97 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed FaZe | 62c | 4,773$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.58 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FaZe | 65c | 3,921$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.5 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed FaZe | 80c | 2,186$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FaZe | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed FaZe | 64c | 1,769$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.72 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed paiN | 28c | 1,617$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.19 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FaZe | 62c | 1,517$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.63 | 870 | 46%400 W · 470 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked paiN | 34c | 1,503$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.87 | 246 | 40.2%99 W · 147 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked FaZe | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 2c | 1,140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FaZe | 64c | 1,102$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.36 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 32c | 1,102$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.54 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed paiN | 31c | 1,050$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked FaZe | 68c | 1,042$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.4 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FaZe | 64c | 999$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FaZe | 63c | 953$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.61 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked paiN | 29c | 935.31$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked paiN | 14c | 925$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed FaZe | 66c | 914.59$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.61 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 35c | 841.11$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.87 | 1,149 | 49.4%568 W · 581 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 26c | 752.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.09 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed paiN | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed FaZe | 62c | 620.55$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed FaZe | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed paiN | 27c | 549.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 974 | 45.5%443 W · 531 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked paiN | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed paiN | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed paiN | 25c | 398.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked paiN | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed FaZe | 68c | 370.79$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FaZe | 63c | 365.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked paiN | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…da92backed paiN | 20c | 280$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…3604backed FaZe | 64c | 233.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked paiN | 16c | 210.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed FaZe | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FaZe | 61c | 198.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed paiN | 32c | 175$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked FaZe | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…eecdbacked FaZe | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FaZe | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed FaZe | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed paiN | 35c | 127.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 700 | 53.3%373 W · 327 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed paiN | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FaZe | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed FaZe | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FaZe | 71c | 82.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed FaZe | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked paiN | 42c | 74.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 173 | 36.4%63 W · 110 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed FaZe | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FaZe | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed FaZe | 65c | 58.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -21.1wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed paiN | 39c | 55.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed paiN | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed paiN | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked paiN | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked paiN | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 833 | 46.2%385 W · 448 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FaZe | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked FaZe | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…0671backed paiN | 39c | 36.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed FaZe | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…5c5fbacked FaZe | 73c | 24.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…a530backed FaZe | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.