Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Bilibili Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2dbffb826d187f977be675d954a12138c2a4153f47b485a8ebc30c12dc0dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibiliof Team WE, Bilibili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE | 17c | 35,919$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.46 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Team WE | 24c | 30,852$7,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,530.45 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Bilibili | 76c | 10,300$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team WE | 18c | 6,757$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.19 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Bilibili | 74c | 5,660$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.98 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Bilibili | 77c | 3,062$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bilibili | 77c | 2,132$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.45 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Bilibili | 79c | 2,089$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team WE | 13c | 1,365$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team WE | 16c | 1,300$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team WE | 20c | 1,150$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team WE | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Team WE | 15c | 986.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team WE | 15c | 840$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Team WE | 5c | 800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Bilibili | 80c | 650$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Bilibili | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bilibili | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Bilibili | 79c | 405.92$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Bilibili | 77c | 350$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team WE | 10c | 349.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Team WE | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Team WE | 15c | 230.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Team WE | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Bilibili | 80c | 201.66$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Team WE | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Team WE | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Team WE | 14c | 199.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Team WE | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Bilibili | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bilibili | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Bilibili | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Team WE | 21c | 125$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Team WE | 21c | 107.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Team WE | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Team WE | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Bilibili | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked Team WE | 25c | 82.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Team WE | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team WE | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.