Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9226d32c4f167577b15ffd004b307051ce3f6fd433ea41a80663e262153b22e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 2,147$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.65 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 1,916$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.09 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 33c | 1,333$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 903.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 47c | 628.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.22 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Yes | 57c | 524.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 45c | 411.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 60c | 391$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 59c | 349.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 340.74$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.81 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 23c | 315.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 37c | 313$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 267$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 40c | 261$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 40c | 248.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 248.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 22c | 242.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Yes | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 60c | 143.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 40c | 137.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 41c | 83.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 40c | 62.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 58.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 53.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 60c | 47.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 56c | 35.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 33c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…c2edbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3699…a16fbacked Yes | 43c | 32.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…a04bbacked Yes | 40c | 27.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…12a8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7355backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.