La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacfdbfce836f24ebd10524f3abe59387a7a9fd0128f256e0f77d8c70751919ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 28c | 5,682$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.35 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 5,284$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.68 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 4,926$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.29 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 4,645$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.74 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.74 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 72c | 2,277$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.04 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 2,162$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.19 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 76c | 1,672$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 1,646$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.38 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,476$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.52 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,220$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 25c | 1,189$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 73c | 997.99$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 75c | 986$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.37 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 373.85$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked No | 73c | 292.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 74c | 288.16$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 21c | 287.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 28c | 175.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 149.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…5e7abacked No | 75c | 137.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f0…d5d6backed Yes | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 76c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 28c | 53.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.