La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fffaaee89489ac488dd28eeb6f72949ef3cfc13c38448b540fe10dddd7b36fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 55c | 114,553$63,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,004.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 52c | 45,575$23,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,005.57 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 45c | 28,812$12,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,846.4 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 0c | 10,800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 45c | 9,569$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.32 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 4,255$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.19 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…1d68backed Yes | 49c | 4,051$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 2,048$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.89 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 54c | 1,802$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.45 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 40c | 1,789$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,577$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.09 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…fec6backed Yes | 48c | 1,495$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 56c | 1,365$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.66 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,129$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.06 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 56c | 999.41$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.67 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 45c | 906.67$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.67 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 55c | 867.85$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.32 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yes | 46c | 809.69$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 724.08$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.65 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 509.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 5c | 382$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 54c | 351.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 42c | 250.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 46c | 200.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 57c | 176.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 20c | 162$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…c9efbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 45c | 111.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 49c | 102.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 49c | 102.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 45c | 86.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 54c | 82.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 44c | 81.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 67.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 44c | 67.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 49c | 57.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 59c | 56.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Yes | 45c | 52.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 49c | 50.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…264dbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 36.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Yes | 57c | 35.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 56c | 25.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.