TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$515,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$524,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…4908backed Yes49c408,180$199,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199,953.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0764…e01fbacked No51c215,515$109,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,602.46850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+194.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No51c101,540$51,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,770.12060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No53c56,912$30,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,535.225360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.981866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed No51c15,000$7,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,357.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+81.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No51c11,600$5,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6361233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes53c7,353$3,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.493764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92c3…f584backed Yes49c6,237$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No51c5,200$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,54828543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes49c3,773$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.9319028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No52c3,118$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.473756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No15c2,837$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.6324963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No51c2,667$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.8310850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.975040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No51c2,138$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.425250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes49c2,043$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0014151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96017852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes50c1,611$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes51c1,524$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No57c1,405$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.013351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes49c1,267$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.752646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…1742backed Yes50c1,176$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked No23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7701540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c928.68$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4438048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yes48c806$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.881650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yes35c801.56$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.282227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No49c704.16$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1929136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No57c652.41$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2826950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No49c588$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.887855.1%43 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Yes38c529.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503225%8 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7722054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b6…f594backed Yes47c429.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No52c406.92$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3210040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d8…1b0ebacked Yes48c385.33$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes79c381.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes48c284.48$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.551241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No51c262.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.487625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.511245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb470…aa7bbacked No14c249.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes49c243.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.327744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes42c240.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No18c227$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.147136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes48c211.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.521553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes40c195.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5912737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3118650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3124455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1919645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes53c183.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes48c172.49$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9214332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No58c171.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.194564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No51c161.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.359857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…98f1backed No53c151.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c147.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.521,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes49c121.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa87…cde9backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4719344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…77c4backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed No52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes49c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.512938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes50c96.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.341145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No52c92.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8414044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes30c92.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.86331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes44c86.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+105%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked No53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f82…0ffebacked No51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a85…1811backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes48c62.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5cf…3f01backed Yes34c59.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0d…ebccbacked Yes48c45.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked No68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7363…39cabacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes35c40.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb20…0cf5backed Yes35c40.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0de…443bbacked No26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+92.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ca…6412backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fab…0120backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7bf…0db2backed Yes78c32.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes49c31.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.344346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4dc…df18backed Yes48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.