Champions League · resolved market
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32999fd6e56de4d801c8ba0d5452619a3c1889b35cdc41252e6b092b139b2401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 71c | 6,973$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.03 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 29c | 6,555$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 76c | 5,230$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.2 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 4,100$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 26c | 3,850$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 25c | 2,907$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.13 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…f6e7backed Yes | 21c | 2,652$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 35c | 2,356$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.48 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 72c | 2,083$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.1 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 28c | 2,030$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked No | 73c | 1,897$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 72c | 1,833$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,194$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.28 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 905.64$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.41 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 29c | 853.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed No | 74c | 754.77$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 741$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 17c | 521$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 515.19$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 78c | 402.78$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 71c | 281.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 198.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 32c | 190.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…aaaebacked Yes | 27c | 184.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 177$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…0700backed Yes | 29c | 175.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 161.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 72c | 132.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 123.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb662…375dbacked Yes | 26c | 115.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Yes | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 34c | 102.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 69c | 88.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed No | 70c | 68.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 72c | 67.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 29c | 48.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed No | 74c | 34.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…e303backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-26?this page
- Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?No won
- Will Pafos FC vs. FK Crvena Zvezda end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.