Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3eecaba58852ae5deed3d6f1ed82b3111b941bb24a87e849acc7ffd211e7a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 10c | 10,016$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.92 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 1c | 6,888$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 7c | 3,210$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.96 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 9c | 2,693$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.06 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,148$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 6c | 1,212$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 1c | 966.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…2e62backed Yes | 5c | 898.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 3c | 736.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…8876backed Yes | 16c | 631.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 19c | 610.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…c3a7backed Yes | 4c | 594.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 11c | 533.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes | 13c | 514.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 14c | 505.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 17c | 460$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…2349backed Yes | 3c | 423.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 14c | 358.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 12c | 344.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 77c | 283.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 254.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…c3d5backed Yes | 4c | 252.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 16c | 217.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…cd7bbacked Yes | 10c | 203.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…dbe2backed Yes | 18c | 197.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…b1f2backed Yes | 14c | 182.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 11c | 182.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 13c | 171.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 14c | 159.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…47acbacked Yes | 13c | 153.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 17c | 140.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2748backed No | 75c | 133.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 35c | 128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Yes | 16c | 127.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Yes | 18c | 112.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed Yes | 18c | 111.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…3047backed Yes | 10c | 110.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…e40abacked Yes | 12c | 100.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…d2e3backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…277ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 13c | 99.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 22c | 90.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…f43abacked Yes | 20c | 86.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…942abacked Yes | 15c | 72.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9861…1603backed Yes | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…3b9ebacked Yes | 44c | 70.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…c404backed Yes | 29c | 69.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…e65cbacked Yes | 19c | 58.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…cd51backed Yes | 40c | 37.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…2e88backed No | 61c | 28.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…c4b6backed Yes | 44c | 27.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.