CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bec4e3f6357bc2afb280544da271f1c26a270ae61ae87be9c24671271e92598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked G2 | 46c | 19,714$9,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,548.46 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked FURIA | 53c | 15,104$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.34 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked FURIA | 54c | 7,102$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed FURIA | 47c | 5,739$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed G2 | 47c | 5,500$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.98 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked FURIA | 54c | 5,206$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed FURIA | 53c | 4,402$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.96 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked G2 | 47c | 3,329$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.44 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed G2 | 47c | 3,275$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked G2 | 51c | 2,536$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.88 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed G2 | 46c | 2,496$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.76 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed FURIA | 23c | 2,157$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed G2 | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed G2 | 46c | 2,000$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.83 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed G2 | 50c | 1,921$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.07 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked FURIA | 54c | 1,480$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed G2 | 75c | 1,153$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed G2 | 46c | 1,099$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.35 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed FURIA | 5c | 1,099$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked FURIA | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.65 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 | 49c | 998$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.98 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed FURIA | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed G2 | 48c | 569.31$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed G2 | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed G2 | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked G2 | 50c | 442.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed FURIA | 54c | 421.82$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed G2 | 48c | 268.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 75c | 250.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed G2 | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed FURIA | 20c | 200.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed G2 | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed FURIA | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed FURIA | 54c | 128$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked FURIA | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked FURIA | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…0467backed FURIA | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked FURIA | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked G2 | 53c | 75.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed G2 | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…9191backed G2 | 64c | 70.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed FURIA | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed FURIA | 32c | 47.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked G2 | 46c | 45.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed FURIA | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…0671backed FURIA | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed FURIA | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed G2 | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked FURIA | 52c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FURIA | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.