Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b2c13483e6c53249e455cddd962f988b0f07227d998368254f299538646b59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 80c | 19,999$15,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.8 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 20c | 15,200$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.03 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 15c | 6,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 73c | 4,970$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.59 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 79c | 3,104$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.76 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…e99fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,198$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 79c | 1,049$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 20c | 999.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 999.76$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 24c | 955.95$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 19c | 943.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 19c | 922.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 74c | 756.79$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 703.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 20c | 680$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 26c | 571.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 16c | 477$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 19c | 342.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 31c | 314.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…0a4abacked Yes | 21c | 242.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 79c | 178.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…1fedbacked Yes | 20c | 175.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 163.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7b…3c9ebacked Yes | 21c | 154.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 21c | 146.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…faacbacked Yes | 21c | 144.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed No | 73c | 137.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 22c | 134.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 79c | 117.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4976backed Yes | 30c | 108.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 30c | 101.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…739bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 16c | 94.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 75c | 90.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…02bcbacked Yes | 23c | 87.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…e1e8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…5ae5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb7…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…f468backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…96cabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Tottenham end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.