Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfcd556e69fcddba50c906fc85b4ebc240551103cb3b767f47ad2993ba485253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed No | 35c | 76,645$26,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,739.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 65c | 52,794$34,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,477.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 66c | 28,500$18,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,690.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 34c | 18,667$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,346.78 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 66c | 13,524$8,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.24 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 65c | 2,355$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.25 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 35c | 2,355$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 2,190$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 28c | 1,862$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 1,685$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.52 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 63c | 1,578$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 65c | 879$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 35c | 756.61$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 36c | 599.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 66c | 326.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 66c | 301.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 65c | 285.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 36c | 280.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 66c | 265.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 66c | 252.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 243.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 79c | 171.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 37c | 138.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 36c | 129.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…17b3backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…727ebacked No | 13c | 120.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 65c | 70.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked No | 33c | 44.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…1dfebacked Yes | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed No | 39c | 29.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed Yes | 66c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 63c | 20.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 66c | 20.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…63e9backed Yes | 63c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…613abacked Yes | 65c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…7081backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-21?this page
- Will Malmo FF vs. SK Sigma Olomouc end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.