Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f7a12a9fe14b233704e0eeaae226d3381d9331f9a27fdbc2ca73d5da776f8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 13c | 257,541$33,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,301.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 27,142$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.75 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 41c | 8,864$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,239.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 12c | 3,000$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 14c | 2,468$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.45 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 31c | 1,878$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.04 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,442$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 69c | 1,162$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.61 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.85 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 30c | 813.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.45 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 13c | 764.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.82 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed No | 13c | 750$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 14c | 717.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.57 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 73c | 694.74$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.73 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 14c | 665.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.36 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 76c | 524.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 27c | 405.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 77c | 346$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 13c | 250$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 13c | 231$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 71c | 208.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 12c | 187.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…e732backed Yes | 72c | 142.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 29c | 141.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 32c | 123$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 13c | 112.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 13c | 99.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +105%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 40c | 76.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…d29ebacked Yes | 54c | 72.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +286.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 70c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 69c | 44.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 68c | 26.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Yes | 65c | 23.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Yes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…8c54backed Yes | 71c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic win on 2025-08-20?this page
- Will Celtic vs. FC Kairat Almaty end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.