Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a8c118d6627610dc9a690ba6ea5e4cf6ab5f39615993b3a4259029f76c02af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed No | 57c | 335,445$191,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,253.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 43c | 180,435$77,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,467.46 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 43c | 120,985$52,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,514.34 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yes | 43c | 80,345$34,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,796.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 43c | 30,248$13,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,241.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 43c | 25,395$10,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,529.28 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 45c | 24,650$11,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,498.05 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 43c | 18,000$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,260 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 8,300$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 32c | 2,510$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 887.9$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.25 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 59c | 799.98$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 38c | 604.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 56c | 475.49$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 43c | 301.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 29c | 223$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 30c | 168.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…e413backed Yes | 37c | 134.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 33c | 121.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8e…cfdabacked Yes | 34c | 117.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 43c | 93.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 33c | 81.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 57c | 74.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 38c | 65.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 30c | 49.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 49.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes | 45c | 36.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2c…048dbacked Yes | 43c | 27.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…7330backed Yes | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-28?this page
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.