Champions League · resolved market
Will Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x329dac5666cffcd7df53b9d8eed5d87d2a106e0bfb23791366bfb27010e5556b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfba…9398backed No | 59c | 787.83$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 41c | 703.83$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 62c | 530.47$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4073…f770backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 58c | 214.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 39c | 104.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 59c | 93.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…0764backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 39c | 79.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944d…d633backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…550bbacked Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…f441backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…a488backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…00edbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 43c | 30.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…f9e9backed Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed No | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 79c | 14.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ousmane Dembele score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?this page
- Will Achraf Hakimi score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?No won
- Will Bradley Barcola score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?No won
- Will Cole Palmer score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Desire Doue score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?No won
- Will Fabian Ruiz score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?No won
- Will Goncalo Ramos score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?No won
- Will Joao Pedro score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?Yes won
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.