TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Fabian Ruiz score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,178 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4aef…9337backed No79c769.81$605 inWon+$164.4524742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf5…e387backed Yes18c717.05$130 inLost-$130.4250%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes16c579.99$93 inLost-$92.89343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes20c512.28$100 inLost-$1003647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec50…ec3abacked Yes25c300$75 inLost-$751540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3baa…5688backed Yes18c280$50 inLost-$501520%3 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.