La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29558811d6c7352b462209321655091d1c148a11a8703f2ba3c2d871131a899d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 38c | 1,471$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.55 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 63c | 1,073$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.5 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 68c | 485.18$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.84 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 70c | 387.03$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 32c | 299.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 41c | 294.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 69c | 290.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 281$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 38c | 268.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed No | 62c | 268.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 61c | 233.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…81c5backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 55c | 137.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 61c | 130.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 75c | 50.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 79c | 37.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 42c | 32.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…2698backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 62c | 22.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Mallorca vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mallorca win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.