Serie A · resolved market
Will Como win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67f41028da3003cd0e3e227b84ec4de0699bf38dbc9075b7069805c709970ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 9,584$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 8,800$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.89 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 632.23$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 70c | 340$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 30c | 283$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 277.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 22c | 259$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 204$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 69c | 128.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 18c | 115.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 30c | 98.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 72c | 82.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…e49cbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 65c | 75.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 76c | 66.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 35c | 66.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked No | 70c | 59.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed No | 76c | 49.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 67c | 48.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…6bc4backed Yes | 35c | 43.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…418cbacked No | 67c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Bologna vs. Como end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.