Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd18bd0b6d569e2da243c71cf2231e330b03ef94dfa12c220cb0fe60c8a0e2dd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 65c | 7,706$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.07 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 35c | 2,632$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.58 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 2,380$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.2 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 56c | 1,826$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 39c | 802$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.63 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 72c | 379.6$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 74c | 350$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 343.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 42c | 317.62$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 284.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 60c | 258$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 39c | 256.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 73c | 255$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 62c | 195.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 192.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 35c | 148.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 72c | 138.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 38c | 104.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 53c | 100.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 38c | 78.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 61.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed No | 65c | 25.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…c6c1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…9e5fbacked Yes | 41c | 24.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Bologna vs. Como end in a draw?No won
- Will Como win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.