TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

EWC Cs2: Vitality vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Vitality, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality0c10,419$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Falcons32c10,030$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,868.568237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Vitality56c3,708$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.0345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed Vitality70c3,589$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.963036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Falcons43c3,454$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.7522849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Falcons56c2,912$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.276264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality61c2,573$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57760953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Falcons44c2,278$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.414151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Vitality70c2,186$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53024440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Vitality42c2,106$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.325149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed Falcons51c1,596$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.1412843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Vitality65c1,504$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.0642149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Vitality67c1,497$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.986744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Vitality69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Vitality67c1,392$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.029647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Falcons32c1,288$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.981,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…4673backed Vitality71c1,242$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.62633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Vitality4c1,221$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3910933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vitality39c1,030$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.615,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Falcons40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60020855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Falcons29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71012145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb8…9177backed Vitality67c970.15$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Falcons32c813.24$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5531,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e77…cb47backed Falcons67c812.16$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.424864.6%31 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Falcons29c810$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.116335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Vitality72c796.33$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57015448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Falcons63c790.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3121251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc17…2a53backed Vitality68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Vitality2c717.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7911625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Falcons35c715.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.716248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Falcons33c708.03$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.388737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Vitality29c692.48$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.778833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25ed…9481backed Vitality68c579.23$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality67c554.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.841,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Falcons32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7511847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Falcons49c429.72$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3473658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Falcons46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1246340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Falcons32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.68838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Falcons47c385.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20521846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Falcons32c375$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcadd…200bbacked Falcons37c346.15$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.63542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Vitality45c339.17$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9442638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality65c329.77$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Vitality76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22824554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Falcons33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20125941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Vitality67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Falcons34c297.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.536751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Vitality24c281.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…55c3backed Vitality60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507642.1%32 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Vitality47c239.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.666643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Vitality53c211.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Falcons35c208.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5968753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Vitality23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462524%6 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed Vitality68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Vitality65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13063345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd89d…d6b7backed Vitality68c179.24$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.883141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Falcons32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2510738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Vitality56c150.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5910261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Falcons33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.54942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Falcons77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Vitality69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed Vitality69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020157.7%116 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed Falcons30c111.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Falcons45c106.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.817732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6282146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Falcons57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.516250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Vitality56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Falcons23c89.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3724250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Falcons40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.531758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Vitality23c86.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.753141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Falcons47c84.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5626351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Falcons48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3923351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Vitality54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Vitality69c68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.922755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Falcons39c65.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.773542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Falcons50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d18…3967backed Vitality22c52.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Falcons35c50.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8816050%80 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6223…0671backed Falcons33c50.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Vitality68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3428346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Falcons32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3436437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality68c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Falcons32c40.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.633638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5657…78aebacked Vitality56c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8fbcbacked Falcons34c36.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality63c36.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6335454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Vitality55c33.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.531952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822f…ea37backed Falcons40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Vitality68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Falcons79c25.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3816649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fbe…d7e1backed Falcons40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.