CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Open: Imperial vs. Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0264345de8587407ccd48e4e8a1434a4de5f7d4bdd58f69411a1b8bba9e933e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Imperial, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6304…e570backed Liquid | 63c | 10,294$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.86 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Imperial | 37c | 9,134$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.64 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Imperial | 37c | 2,056$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.72 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Imperial | 35c | 1,846$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.21 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid | 62c | 1,778$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.41 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Liquid | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.88 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 37c | 1,500$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.21 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Liquid | 65c | 1,410$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.54 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Liquid | 63c | 1,356$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.32 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed Imperial | 41c | 1,225$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Imperial | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Imperial | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Imperial | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Liquid | 63c | 787.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.86 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Liquid | 60c | 688.33$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.33 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Imperial | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Liquid | 49c | 595.19$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Liquid | 58c | 515.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Imperial | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Imperial | 47c | 467.54$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.38 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Imperial | 29c | 405.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Liquid | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Imperial | 21c | 322.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Imperial | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Imperial | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Liquid | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Imperial | 11c | 243.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Liquid | 64c | 237$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Liquid | 68c | 217.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Liquid | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liquid | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Imperial | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Liquid | 52c | 158.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Imperial | 25c | 155.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Imperial | 22c | 155.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Liquid | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Liquid | 52c | 142.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Imperial | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Liquid | 41c | 123$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 56c | 123$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Liquid | 64c | 118.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Liquid | 61c | 106.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Liquid | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…3be3backed Liquid | 54c | 93.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Imperial | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Liquid | 72c | 83.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Liquid | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Liquid | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Imperial | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Liquid | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Imperial | 36c | 63.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Liquid | 37c | 59.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Liquid | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Liquid | 60c | 53.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Imperial | 50c | 53.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ea37backed Imperial | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Imperial | 45c | 42.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Liquid | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Liquid | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Imperial | 42c | 27.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Imperial | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Imperial | 44c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Liquid | 64c | 20.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.