Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland beat Finland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3412b14dce0757fb7b6d3b2c722330304d85c88b1591e127641b2653b3f6a05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 16c | 19,999$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.84 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 8,341$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.35 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…7dd4backed Yes | 0c | 8,249$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 57c | 6,198$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bc…6f4dbacked Yes | 43c | 5,581$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…5d9cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,116$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed No | 60c | 3,325$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 65c | 2,962$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.16 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,880$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 63c | 2,143$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,075$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…f352backed No | 55c | 1,550$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 67c | 1,522$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.59 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…9137backed Yes | 27c | 1,483$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 64c | 1,407$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 54c | 1,290$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.35 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 46c | 1,102$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…871bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…1e7dbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f530backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…9b2ebacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…341bbacked Yes | 9c | 895$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 46c | 875.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8121…069bbacked Yes | 44c | 745$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…2865backed Yes | 43c | 734.42$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…c62cbacked Yes | 41c | 726$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…f945backed Yes | 46c | 634.15$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…25debacked Yes | 46c | 594.85$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 45c | 594.44$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 34c | 590$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 42c | 550.01$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…941ebacked No | 56c | 530$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…3602backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…62ccbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…b0b1backed No | 56c | 460$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…a337backed Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 42c | 367.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 46c | 286.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ef…36e1backed Yes | 44c | 255$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…ea03backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632d…69e3backed Yes | 33c | 239.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…e451backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…5b78backed No | 56c | 237.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…0471backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…db03backed Yes | 6c | 222.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…9cbebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Yes | 32c | 210$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 204$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…9122backed Yes | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yes | 17c | 201$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…4813backed Yes | 41c | 190.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8b…27afbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 45c | 132.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2a…686bbacked Yes | 42c | 119.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 46c | 117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…3ad6backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 43c | 107.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…0305backed Yes | 43c | 104.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…c47cbacked Yes | 12c | 104.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…0af0backed Yes | 42c | 86.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…edb9backed Yes | 47c | 82.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…cd23backed Yes | 46c | 80.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…577bbacked No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0559…be32backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…4bd2backed Yes | 17c | 63.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 63.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 62.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…0b7abacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…f055backed Yes | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…09cabacked Yes | 31c | 55.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5b…edbabacked Yes | 41c | 54.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 45c | 52.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…35ecbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 45c | 46.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421c…8c4ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…82d6backed Yes | 46c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed No | 59c | 28.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland beat Finland?this page
- Will Finland beat Poland?Yes won
- Will Finland vs. Poland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.