Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Korda vs. Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d0ff942592a9c8be56f304d2fe79b59e9daca720786cc4f39e62e7dc4e4ba55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoeof Korda, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d17…76b0backed Korda | 51c | 31,100$15,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,861 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…6a77backed Tiafoe | 49c | 29,200$14,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,892 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Korda | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tiafoe | 48c | 1,964$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.62 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf773…4a03backed Tiafoe | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Korda | 55c | 1,804$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Tiafoe | 56c | 1,706$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Korda | 36c | 1,400$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tiafoe | 49c | 1,105$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.46 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Tiafoe | 50c | 1,010$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.66 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Korda | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tiafoe | 48c | 875.82$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.43 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Tiafoe | 48c | 750$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Korda | 42c | 623.75$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.1 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Tiafoe | 49c | 612.24$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Korda | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Korda | 55c | 456.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Tiafoe | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…46b0backed Korda | 55c | 321.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tiafoe | 50c | 309.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Tiafoe | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Korda | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Korda | 51c | 296.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Tiafoe | 49c | 290$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Tiafoe | 49c | 259.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tiafoe | 51c | 221.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…1d6bbacked Korda | 24c | 211.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Korda | 52c | 210.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tiafoe | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tiafoe | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68e…5188backed Korda | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tiafoe | 72c | 197.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Tiafoe | 48c | 191.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…f025backed Korda | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Korda | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tiafoe | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Korda | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tiafoe | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…89acbacked Korda | 56c | 92.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Korda | 55c | 77.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Korda | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tiafoe | 49c | 54.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tiafoe | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Korda | 33c | 41.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…0b6cbacked Tiafoe | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Tiafoe | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.