South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2566c4d7e63408bdb7b9d2af7774bc77880aa409bc55bcf8112fcfaca588341d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 7,558$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.86 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Yes | 29c | 6,907$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,550$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 73c | 1,086$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.64 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 31c | 635.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.34 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 64c | 578$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 26c | 547.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.44 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 536$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…d0a5backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…1e29backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 31c | 431.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 26c | 229.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed No | 37c | 114.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 58c | 92.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 62c | 77.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 52.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1157…7361backed Yes | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 75c | 44.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 44.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…52b6backed Yes | 38c | 38.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 30.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.