Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Khachanov vs. Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc7169e2d7ee8bc1a074316e704b9faba033552dfa28defcba283bd26dbffbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Khachanov, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Khachanov | 32c | 2,251$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.66 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Khachanov | 56c | 2,175$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Paul | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Paul | 74c | 1,664$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Khachanov | 54c | 1,070$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.14 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Khachanov | 54c | 1,066$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.66 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Khachanov | 52c | 1,021$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Paul | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.61 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Paul | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Paul | 51c | 809.27$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.27 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Khachanov | 37c | 624.94$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Paul | 57c | 554.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paul | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Khachanov | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Khachanov | 33c | 480$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Khachanov | 46c | 447.06$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paul | 60c | 414$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paul | 57c | 392$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Khachanov | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Khachanov | 54c | 350.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Khachanov | 46c | 343.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Paul | 63c | 300$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Khachanov | 31c | 260.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Khachanov | 51c | 251.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Paul | 53c | 246$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Khachanov | 49c | 225.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Paul | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Khachanov | 40c | 213.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…8179backed Khachanov | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Paul | 46c | 179.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Khachanov | 35c | 167.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…f025backed Paul | 47c | 146.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Khachanov | 57c | 117.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0784…9e6dbacked Khachanov | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Khachanov | 52c | 64.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Paul | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Khachanov | 55c | 57.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Paul | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…89acbacked Paul | 53c | 51.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…91f6backed Paul | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…f057backed Paul | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Khachanov | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Paul | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Khachanov | 37c | 39.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Paul | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Paul | 61c | 31.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Khachanov | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…8b0ebacked Paul | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…3fdabacked Paul | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.