Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43fef5f706683117fcb7de643bba3411a5fec525bb43bee22253918c9d8e1d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2995…6d7abacked No | 61c | 57,812$35,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,265.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…d495backed Yes | 39c | 57,812$22,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,265.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed Yes | 61c | 15,247$9,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…e4b9backed No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22e…cb68backed Yes | 68c | 13,889$9,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 36c | 10,607$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.62 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…ce37backed No | 24c | 6,599$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 47c | 4,226$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.96 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…b56abacked No | 15c | 4,190$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 63c | 4,003$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…021ebacked No | 43c | 3,945$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 8c | 2,341$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 75c | 2,119$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.59 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 39c | 2,045$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.81 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 36c | 2,000$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 51c | 1,715$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.92 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 66c | 1,507$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.69 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,495$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.74 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed No | 15c | 1,324$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 56c | 1,249$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.49 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 23c | 1,228$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…d487backed Yes | 61c | 1,188$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 66c | 1,144$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 42c | 1,080$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.03 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 67c | 1,042$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.93 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.16 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…6411backed No | 28c | 934.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…81abbacked No | 52c | 850.56$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0f…740fbacked No | 45c | 817.58$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 789.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…dc76backed No | 27c | 704.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 59c | 688.01$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 11c | 664.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 61c | 662.63$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…00bcbacked Yes | 32c | 618.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 38c | 612.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.39 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed No | 43c | 594.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 48c | 589.41$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…1329backed No | 29c | 580.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 34c | 569.93$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.13 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed No | 36c | 562.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed No | 13c | 520.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…995fbacked No | 52c | 511.54$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 69c | 505$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…9122backed Yes | 37c | 480.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 28c | 473.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.69 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…7697backed No | 44c | 470$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed No | 44c | 453.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 57c | 450.32$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…81f3backed No | 3c | 443.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 436$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 435.71$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 58c | 433.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 52c | 413.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…1ccebacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…78cebacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Yes | 33c | 399.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +221.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 51c | 393.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed No | 48c | 389.08$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…6815backed No | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 52c | 373.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 57c | 354.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 353.07$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.38 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 70c | 350$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…66b4backed No | 63c | 335.86$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 60c | 334.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 12c | 321.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 61c | 314.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…bf57backed No | 47c | 310$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 32c | 308.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…43dcbacked No | 52c | 292.07$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…edcabacked Yes | 36c | 281.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 32c | 272.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 10c | 271.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed No | 66c | 264.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…4660backed Yes | 52c | 262.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 77c | 255$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…1d41backed No | 31c | 254.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 22c | 247.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…7a97backed No | 63c | 245.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1328backed No | 50c | 239.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed No | 25c | 238.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked No | 69c | 230.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.4wins | -0.34per pick | 58cpaid | -65%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…0fedbacked No | 37c | 219.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 18c | 216.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…86a0backed No | 51c | 211.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e49…bfdbbacked No | 56c | 208.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 63c | 202.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…2992backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…4ab7backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…4d6cbacked Yes | 68c | 192.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…7bb2backed No | 54c | 183.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 173.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…f6e0backed Yes | 33c | 173.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…b06abacked No | 49c | 170.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.