South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4057bfd53fb55e0a680b479d434145b054bb0956116d24d3816112a9ebfddd79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 2,609$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 1,302$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.51 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 43c | 456.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 60c | 436.67$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 57c | 269.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 52c | 217.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 204.66$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 47c | 175.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 126.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Yes | 55c | 117$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 56c | 113.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 46c | 112.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…a851backed Yes | 59c | 92.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Yes | 59c | 89.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 53c | 89.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 46c | 86.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 49c | 67.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 47c | 62.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 53c | 54.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 56c | 45.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…dd88backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…1026backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…a1bfbacked Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 60c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.