Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052e07df866118bc6e448816825923b04203fb359e69294db1f84a5f9914263e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Popyrin , Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Popyrin | 37c | 36,592$13,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,662 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Paul | 57c | 12,017$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.43 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Paul | 60c | 9,580$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.85 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Paul | 77c | 6,905$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.16 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Paul | 68c | 2,673$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.89 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Paul | 62c | 2,574$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.1 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Popyrin | 38c | 1,706$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.34 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Popyrin | 33c | 1,686$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Paul | 58c | 1,436$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.06 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Paul | 61c | 1,273$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.46 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Paul | 70c | 1,044$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Popyrin | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Paul | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Popyrin | 27c | 864.18$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Popyrin | 39c | 814.87$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Paul | 61c | 649.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paul | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Popyrin | 22c | 582.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Popyrin | 38c | 534.21$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Paul | 73c | 437.14$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Paul | 62c | 323.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paul | 71c | 318$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Paul | 60c | 315.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Paul | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Popyrin | 38c | 276.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Popyrin | 37c | 249.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Popyrin | 20c | 205.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Paul | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Popyrin | 39c | 187.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Popyrin | 48c | 174.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…9a14backed Paul | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Paul | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Paul | 60c | 152.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Paul | 63c | 147$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…d80ebacked Paul | 77c | 139.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Popyrin | 38c | 135$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Paul | 57c | 100.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Paul | 59c | 90.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Paul | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Paul | 63c | 78.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Paul | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…1d6bbacked Paul | 77c | 67.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…46b0backed Paul | 78c | 19.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Paul | 61c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.