Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Sofia Kenin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x818f7a904fe458f96f17a9f19eebc58c79f05d405963722a7733c22a0c04f402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bencicof Bencic, Kenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x620b…d4adbacked Kenin | 32c | 8,615$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kenin | 35c | 8,562$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.48 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bencic | 56c | 3,172$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.61 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kenin | 30c | 3,006$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kenin | 42c | 2,378$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Bencic | 69c | 1,903$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kenin | 47c | 1,771$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bencic | 65c | 1,533$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.32 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…7644backed Bencic | 53c | 1,319$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Bencic | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bencic | 60c | 1,015$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.83 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Bencic | 60c | 957.93$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.93 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Kenin | 48c | 903.8$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bencic | 54c | 792.78$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.68 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Bencic | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kenin | 30c | 597.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kenin | 43c | 580.3$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Kenin | 38c | 550$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Kenin | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…292bbacked Bencic | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…59cbbacked Bencic | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…6125backed Kenin | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kenin | 39c | 484.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Bencic | 66c | 477.68$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Bencic | 73c | 421$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Bencic | 57c | 367$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Kenin | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bencic | 65c | 292.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Bencic | 72c | 278.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Kenin | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Bencic | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Bencic | 61c | 246.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Kenin | 49c | 205.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Kenin | 36c | 205$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Bencic | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kenin | 32c | 148.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kenin | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bencic | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Kenin | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bencic | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Kenin | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Kenin | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Bencic | 64c | 101$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Kenin | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Bencic | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Kenin | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Kenin | 59c | 72.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bencic | 64c | 67.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Bencic | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Bencic | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Kenin | 21c | 49.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Kenin | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Bencic | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Bencic | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Bencic | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Bencic | 65c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.