Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fca785ff418ce2956f82a8f3d26b8c9ee97864588bdc7b5111ce22214c05f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 62c | 25,000$15,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,527.4 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 38c | 21,236$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 6,499$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 61c | 3,065$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 2,242$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.72 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 362$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 51c | 322.07$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 171.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 53.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 61c | 35.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf81…cf50backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…cdc5backed No | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…0ad7backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama FC win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.