La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club vs. Getafe end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3bc79098f11ef3844aad74cd5751f311138e48c530de72036b607e8a420b41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 74c | 8,493$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.02 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 7,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 40c | 752.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 678$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 653.86$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 617.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 44c | 557.53$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 59c | 427.45$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 27c | 374.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 29c | 346.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Yes | 24c | 247.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 26c | 185.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Yes | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 46c | 158$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 41c | 113.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 63c | 96.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 95.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 69.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 77c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club vs. Getafe end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Getafe win on 2025-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.